The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Deportivo La Coruña go in as favourites: 48% to win, 27% for the opponent.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
In the model 1:1 comes up most often (about 12%), then 1:0 and 2:1.
A small edge in chances: Deportivo La Coruña, xG 1.60 against 1.13. Form is with Osasuna: 4 points from the last 5 matches, Deportivo La Coruña 2 points. Osasuna are 2.8 points short of their play: better on chances than in the table.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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