Levante vs Elche: match prediction

Levante

Elche

LaLiga · Round 13 · 23 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Model chances

43%Levante

22%Draw

35%Elche

Almost even: 43% home, 22% draw, 35% away.

Expected goals and likely score

1.84Levante · model expected goals · Elche1.64

Score probability, %: rows are home goals, columns away goals
	0	1	2	3	4
0	3	5	4	2	1
1	6	9	8	4	2
2	5	9	7	4	2
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1	0

The most common scores at these chances: 1:1 (about 9%), 2:1 and 1:2.

The scores for each match are the most common outcomes at those chances; any single score is always unlikely.

Why

The model expects roughly equal chances: xG Levante 1.84, Elche 1.64. Little to choose on recent results: Levante 5 points from the last 5 matches, Elche 5 points. Elche are well short: 3.7 points below their play. Teams like that usually catch up over time, but there is no guarantee.

Form: recent matches

LevanteDWLLD

ElcheDDWLL

Team comparison

1718

League position

1110

Points

11.313.7

Expected points (xPTS)

1.341.31

xG per match

2.221.92

xGA per match (lower is better)

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions