Racing Santander
VillarrealThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Racing Santander created more (1.96 xG against 0.77) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.96 | +0.0 | 2.17 | |
| 2 | 0.77 | +1.2 | 0.62 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20' | Andrés Martín (penalty) | 0.74 | ||
| 33' | Sergio Martínez | 0.03 | ||
| 44' | Pape Alassane Gueye | 0.02 | Alberto Moleiro | |
| 45' | Nicolas Pepe | 0.04 | Georges Mikautadze |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50' | Álvaro Mantilla | 0.34 | off target, header | |
| 59' | Santiago Mouriño | 0.23 | saved | |
| 52' | Andrés Martín | 0.14 | off target |
Shots: Racing Santander 17, Villarreal 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 0.
In the first half xG was Racing Santander 1.17, Villarreal 0.21: a clear edge for Racing Santander. In the second half xG was Racing Santander 0.79, Villarreal 0.55: about even. Villarreal scored 2 from 0.77 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Racing Santander: +0.3 for the season (10 in the table). Villarreal: −7.0 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.