The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Racing Santander created more (1.96 xG against 0.77) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 2 | 1.96 | +0.0 | 2.17 |
| Villarreal | 2 | 0.77 | +1.2 | 0.62 |
Racing Santander: −1.1 for the season (16 in the table). Villarreal: −5.3 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.