Ipswich Town — Liverpool 0:2
Ipswich Town0:2
LiverpoolThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score0:2
Home xG0.60Ipswich Town
Away xG0.74Liverpool
Expected points1.18 : 1.43
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Liverpool was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | 0 | 0.60 | −0.6 | 1.18 |
| Liverpool | 2 | 0.74 | +1.3 | 1.43 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5' | Alexander Isak | Liverpool | 0.12 | Cody Gakpo |
| 8' | Alexander Isak | Liverpool | 0.13 | Cody Gakpo |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8' | Alexander Isak | Liverpool | 0.13 | goal |
| 5' | Alexander Isak | Liverpool | 0.12 | goal |
| 46' | Florian Wirtz | Liverpool | 0.12 | blocked |
Shots: Ipswich Town 14, Liverpool 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 0.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Ipswich Town 0.40, Liverpool 0.48: about even. In the second half xG was Ipswich Town 0.19, Liverpool 0.27: about even. Liverpool scored 2 from 0.74 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Ipswich Town: +0.8 for the season (14 in the table). Liverpool: +3.1 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.