The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Liverpool was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | 0 | 0.60 | −0.6 | 1.17 |
| Liverpool | 2 | 0.74 | +1.3 | 1.44 |
Ipswich Town: +0.3 for the season (11 in the table). Liverpool: +1.1 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.