Pitch Radar

Ipswich Town

EPL · England · season 2026/27 · 10 matches · 3W 2D 5L
Place14 of 20
Points11
xPTS10.2
Δ points − xPTS+0.8
Scored / xG15 / 13.5
Conceded / xGA20 / 21.6

Next match

Tottenham Hotspur
VS
Ipswich Town

Tottenham Hotspur · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 17% · draw 20% · defeat 63%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

What the numbers say

Points. 11 points from 10.2 xPTS (+0.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 16th in the league, but 14th in the table. Points match the quality of play. On top of that, finishing runs above expectation (+1.5 vs xG) and fewer goals conceded than expected (−1.6 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.35 xG per match — 17th of 20 (league average 1.60): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 15 goals from 13.5 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.

Defence. 2.16 xGA per match — 18th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.60): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 20 goals from 21.6 xGA — 7% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.

Playing to its level. Points (11) are close to the quality of play (10.2 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

0611 1 10 round 1: 2:1, Points 3, xPTS 1.7round 2: 2:5, Points 3, xPTS 1.8round 3: 0:2, Points 3, xPTS 3.0round 4: 3:2, Points 6, xPTS 5.2round 5: 0:1, Points 6, xPTS 5.7round 6: 2:1, Points 9, xPTS 6.7round 7: 2:3, Points 9, xPTS 6.8round 8: 1:1, Points 10, xPTS 7.1round 9: 2:2, Points 11, xPTS 9.3round 10: 1:2, Points 11, xPTS 10.2
Points 11 xPTS 10.2 points are 0.8 ahead of performance

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.10 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.12. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.6 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

OpponentVenueDateWinDrawDefeatExpected points
Tottenham Hotspuraway2026-11-2117%20%63%0.71
Aston Villahome2026-11-2845%21%34%1.56
Coventry Cityaway2026-12-0229%25%46%1.12
Leeds Unitedaway2026-12-0517%20%63%0.71
Newcastle Unitedhome2026-12-1243%23%34%1.52

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Ipswich Town and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

PlaceClubPPointsxPTSΔ
12Newcastle United10129.9+2.1
13Hull City10119.0+2.0
14Ipswich Town101110.2+0.8
15Fulham101013.9−3.9
16Nottingham Forest10917.6−8.6

Full EPL xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league