Points. 6 points from 5.2 xPTS (+0.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 13th in the league, but 10th in the table. Points match the quality of play.
Attack. 1.50 xG per match — 14th of 20 (league average 1.64): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 7 goals from 6.0 xG — finishing is on par.
Defence. 1.93 xGA per match — 15th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.64). Conceded 10 goals from 7.7 xGA — 2.3 more than expected: opponents are scoring almost everything and the goalkeeper is not helping. But plenty of chances are allowed too — it is not just bad luck.
Playing to its level. Points (6) are close to the quality of play (5.2 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.50 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.02. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.1 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | away | 2026-09-19 | 0.97 |
| Fulham | home | 2026-10-10 | 1.69 |
| Manchester City | away | 2026-10-17 | 0.40 |
| Nottingham Forest | home | 2026-10-23 | 0.89 |
| Hull City | away | 2026-10-31 | 1.15 |