Ipswich Town
Tottenham Hotspur
Ipswich TownTottenham Hotspur · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 17% · draw 20% · defeat 63%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.
Points. 11 points from 10.2 xPTS (+0.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 16th in the league, but 14th in the table. Points match the quality of play. On top of that, finishing runs above expectation (+1.5 vs xG) and fewer goals conceded than expected (−1.6 vs xGA).
Attack. 1.35 xG per match — 17th of 20 (league average 1.60): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 15 goals from 13.5 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.
Defence. 2.16 xGA per match — 18th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.60): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 20 goals from 21.6 xGA — 7% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.
Playing to its level. Points (11) are close to the quality of play (10.2 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.10 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.12. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.6 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| away | 2026-11-21 | 17% | 20% | 63% | 0.71 | |
| home | 2026-11-28 | 45% | 21% | 34% | 1.56 | |
| away | 2026-12-02 | 29% | 25% | 46% | 1.12 | |
| away | 2026-12-05 | 17% | 20% | 63% | 0.71 | |
| home | 2026-12-12 | 43% | 23% | 34% | 1.52 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Ipswich Town and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | 12 | 9.9 | +2.1 | |
| 13 | 10 | 11 | 9.0 | +2.0 | |
| 14 | 10 | 11 | 10.2 | +0.8 | |
| 15 | 10 | 10 | 13.9 | −3.9 | |
| 16 | 10 | 9 | 17.6 | −8.6 |