The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Leeds United was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | 4 | 2.29 | +1.7 | 2.31 |
| Newcastle United | 1 | 0.79 | +0.2 | 0.52 |
Leeds United: +1.8 for the season (5 in the table). Newcastle United: +3.7 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.