Tottenham Hotspur — Coventry City 3:1
Tottenham Hotspur
Coventry CityThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Who deserved it
Coventry City created more (1.14 xG against 0.97) and left with nothing.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 0.97 | +2.0 | 1.22 |
| Coventry City | 1 | 1.14 | −0.1 | 1.48 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13' | James Maddison | Tottenham Hotspur | 0.03 | Mohammed Kudus |
| 48' | Jack Rudoni | Coventry City | 0.56 | Brandon Thomas-Asante |
| 57' | Omar Marmoush | Tottenham Hotspur | 0.03 | Andrew Robertson |
| 95' | Ben Davies | Tottenham Hotspur | 0.07 | Dominic Solanke |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48' | Jack Rudoni | Coventry City | 0.56 | goal |
| 38' | Dominic Solanke | Tottenham Hotspur | 0.14 | off target |
| 63' | Dominic Solanke | Tottenham Hotspur | 0.14 | blocked |
Shots: Tottenham Hotspur 16, Coventry City 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Tottenham Hotspur 0.39, Coventry City 0.26: about even. In the second half xG was Tottenham Hotspur 0.58, Coventry City 0.89: a small edge for Coventry City. Tottenham Hotspur scored 3 from 0.97 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Tottenham Hotspur: −2.3 for the season (11 in the table). Coventry City: −0.8 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.