Coventry City

Next match

Crystal Palace · at home, 21 Nov 2026
Win 47% · draw 23% · defeat 30%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

What the numbers say

Points. 9 points from 9.8 xPTS (−0.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 18th in the league, but 17th in the table. Points match the quality of play. On top of that, finishing falls short (−0.5 vs xG) and more goals conceded than expected (+2.8 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.05 xG per match — 19th of 20 (league average 1.60): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 10 goals from 10.5 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.

Defence. 1.62 xGA per match — 12th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.60): mid-table for chances allowed. Conceded 19 goals from 16.2 xGA — 17% more than expected — the biggest overshoot of conceded goals in the league. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.

Playing to its level. Points (9) are close to the quality of play (9.8 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.90 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.29. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.4 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Coventry City and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full EPL xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league