Alavés — Villarreal 1:0

Alavés

1:0

Villarreal

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Villarreal created more (1.45 xG against 0.92) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Alavés	1	0.92	+0.1	0.98
Villarreal	0	1.45	−1.4	1.75

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
30'	Lucas Boyé	Alavés	0.56	Ángel Pérez

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
30'	Lucas Boyé	Alavés	0.56	goal
84'	Renato Veiga	Villarreal	0.50	off target, from a corner
68'	Ángel Pérez	Alavés	0.12	hit the woodwork

Shots: Alavés 9, Villarreal 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Alavés 0.62, Villarreal 0.52: about even. In the second half xG was Alavés 0.29, Villarreal 0.90: a small edge for Villarreal. Villarreal scored 0 from 1.45 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Alavés: −3.8 for the season (12 in the table). Villarreal: −7.0 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Racing Santander — Elche 3:2

All LaLiga matches with xG →