The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Villarreal created more (1.45 xG against 0.92) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 1 | 0.92 | +0.1 | 0.98 |
| Villarreal | 0 | 1.45 | −1.4 | 1.75 |
Alavés: −0.5 for the season (6 in the table). Villarreal: −5.3 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.