Alavés
Alavés
Deportivo La CoruñaDeportivo La Coruña · at home, 21 Nov 2026
Win 41% · draw 27% · defeat 32%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.
Points. 13 points from 16.8 xPTS (−3.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 7th in the league, but 12th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−1.3 goals vs xG).
Attack. 1.36 xG per match — 11th of 20 (league average 1.57): an average attack for this league. Scored 15 goals from 16.3 xG — 8% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.
Defence. 1.40 xGA per match — 9th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.57): mid-table for chances allowed. Conceded 17 goals from 16.8 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed. What they allow is what they concede.
Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.32 points per match: expected pace 1.4 points per match vs the current 1.1.
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.08 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.43. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 7.2 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| home | 2026-11-21 | 41% | 27% | 32% | 1.49 | |
| away | 2026-11-28 | 9% | 15% | 76% | 0.43 | |
| home | 2026-12-06 | 47% | 28% | 24% | 1.71 | |
| away | 2026-12-13 | 46% | 24% | 30% | 1.62 | |
| home | 2026-12-20 | 57% | 23% | 21% | 1.92 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Alavés and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 12 | 14 | 13.7 | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 12 | 13 | 15.7 | −2.7 | |
| 12 | 12 | 13 | 16.8 | −3.8 | |
| 13 | 12 | 12 | 15.1 | −3.1 | |
| 14 | 11 | 12 | 13.5 | −1.5 |