Atlético Madrid — Villarreal 2:2

Atlético Madrid

2:2

Villarreal

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Villarreal created more (3.54 xG against 0.74) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Atlético Madrid	2	0.74	+1.3	0.21
Villarreal	2	3.54	−1.5	2.71

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
58'	Marc Pubill	Atlético Madrid	0.03	Giuliano Simeone
65'	Gerard Moreno (penalty)	Villarreal	0.74
77'	Georges Mikautadze (penalty)	Villarreal	0.74
84'	Giuliano Simeone	Atlético Madrid	0.09	Álex Baena

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
35'	Georges Mikautadze	Villarreal	0.57	off target
4'	Georges Mikautadze	Villarreal	0.45	blocked
88'	Tajon Buchanan	Villarreal	0.42	saved

Shots: Atlético Madrid 19, Villarreal 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 6.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Atlético Madrid 0.39, Villarreal 1.22: a clear edge for Villarreal. In the second half xG was Atlético Madrid 0.36, Villarreal 2.34: a big edge for Villarreal. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Atlético Madrid scored 2 from 0.74 xG: more than they created. Villarreal scored 2 from 3.54 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Atlético Madrid: +7.0 for the season (3 in the table). Villarreal: −7.0 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Getafe — Racing Santander 1:0Elche — Barcelona 0:5

All LaLiga matches with xG →