The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Villarreal created more (3.54 xG against 0.74) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | 2 | 0.74 | +1.3 | 0.21 |
| Villarreal | 2 | 3.54 | −1.5 | 2.71 |
Atlético Madrid: +3.2 for the season (2 in the table). Villarreal: −5.3 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.