The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Real Sociedad won against the run of chances: Elche created more (2.87 xG against 0.88).
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 2 | 2.87 | −0.9 | 2.48 |
| Real Sociedad | 3 | 0.88 | +2.1 | 0.39 |
Elche: −2.5 for the season (18 in the table). Real Sociedad: +2.0 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.