Elche — Real Sociedad 2:3

Elche

2:3

Real Sociedad

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Real Sociedad won against the run of chances: Elche created more (2.87 xG against 0.88).

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Elche	2	2.87	−0.9	2.47
Real Sociedad	3	0.88	+2.1	0.39

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
10'	Job Ochieng	Real Sociedad	0.18	Carlos Soler
31'	Yangel Herrera	Real Sociedad	0.07	Job Ochieng
66'	Thomas Lemar	Elche	0.02	Victor Chust
73'	Fernando Niño	Elche	0.95	Tete Morente
89'	Luka Sucic	Real Sociedad	0.13	Job Ochieng

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
73'	Fernando Niño	Elche	0.95	goal
91'	Roy Revivo	Elche	0.39	off target
79'	Victor Chust	Elche	0.29	saved, header

Shots: Elche 20, Real Sociedad 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Elche 0.23, Real Sociedad 0.34: about even. In the second half xG was Elche 2.71, Real Sociedad 0.53: a big edge for Elche. Real Sociedad scored 3 from 0.88 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Elche: −3.7 for the season (18 in the table). Real Sociedad: +7.1 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Getafe — Celta Vigo 1:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →