Elche

LaLiga · Spain · season 2026/27 · 12 matches · 2W 4D 6L

Place18 of 20

Points10

xPTS13.7

Δ points − xPTS−3.7

Scored / xG14 / 15.7

Conceded / xGA20 / 23.0

Next match

Levante

Elche

Levante · away, 23 Nov 2026
Win 35% · draw 22% · defeat 43%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

Levante 35%

Atlético Madrid 22%

Osasuna 27%

What the numbers say

Points. 10 points from 13.7 xPTS (−3.7). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 14th in the league, but 18th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−1.7 goals vs xG).

Attack. 1.31 xG per match — 13th of 20 (league average 1.57): an average attack for this league. Scored 14 goals from 15.7 xG — 11% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 1.92 xGA per match — 17th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.57): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 20 goals from 23.0 xGA — 13% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.31 points per match: expected pace 1.1 points per match vs the current 0.8.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Points 10 xPTS 13.7 performance is 3.7 ahead of points

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.83 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.08. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.4 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Opponent	Venue	Date	Win	Draw	Defeat	Expected points
Levante	away	2026-11-23	35%	22%	43%	1.27
Atlético Madrid	home	2026-11-28	22%	21%	57%	0.87
Osasuna	away	2026-12-06	27%	23%	50%	1.05
Sevilla	home	2026-12-13	37%	26%	37%	1.36
Alavés	away	2026-12-20	21%	23%	57%	0.85