The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.23.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | 1 | 1.36 | −0.4 | 1.53 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 1 | 1.13 | −0.1 | 1.20 |
Málaga: −2.4 for the season (20 in the table). Deportivo La Coruña: +2.2 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.