Deportivo La Coruña
Alavés
Deportivo La CoruñaAlavés · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 32% · draw 27% · defeat 41%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.
Points. 15 points from 16.5 xPTS (−1.5). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 8th in the league, but 9th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance fewer goals conceded than expected (−2.4 vs xGA), but finishing falls short (−2.3 vs xG) — one cancels the other.
Attack. 1.44 xG per match — 9th of 20 (league average 1.57): an average attack for this league. Scored 15 goals from 17.3 xG — 13% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.
Defence. 1.36 xGA per match — 7th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.57): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 14 goals from 16.4 xGA — 14% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.
Playing to its level. Points (15) are close to the quality of play (16.5 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.25 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.12. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.6 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| away | 2026-11-21 | 32% | 27% | 41% | 1.24 | |
| home | 2026-11-29 | 14% | 16% | 70% | 0.58 | |
| away | 2026-12-06 | 47% | 23% | 30% | 1.64 | |
| home | 2026-12-13 | 36% | 26% | 38% | 1.33 | |
| home | 2026-12-20 | 19% | 22% | 59% | 0.80 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Deportivo La Coruña and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 11 | 16 | 20.2 | −4.2 | |
| 8 | 12 | 15 | 22.0 | −7.0 | |
| 9 | 12 | 15 | 16.5 | −1.5 | |
| 10 | 12 | 14 | 13.7 | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 12 | 13 | 15.7 | −2.7 |