The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Villarreal was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | 1 | 0.36 | +0.6 | 0.06 |
| Villarreal | 3 | 4.25 | −1.2 | 2.91 |
Málaga: −2.4 for the season (20 in the table). Villarreal: −5.3 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.