Málaga — Villarreal 1:3

Málaga

1:3

Villarreal

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Villarreal was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Málaga	1	0.36	+0.6	0.06
Villarreal	3	4.25	−1.2	2.91

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
11'	Carlos Dotor	Málaga	0.13	Juan Cruz
39'	Alberto Moleiro	Villarreal	0.51	Ilias Akhomach
46'	Pape Alassane Gueye	Villarreal	0.47	Ayoze Pérez
85'	Pape Alassane Gueye (penalty)	Villarreal	0.74

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
53'	Ayoze Pérez	Villarreal	0.62	blocked, header
72'	Tajon Buchanan	Villarreal	0.61	off target, header
39'	Alberto Moleiro	Villarreal	0.51	goal

Shots: Málaga 5, Villarreal 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 7.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Málaga 0.13, Villarreal 1.11: a clear edge for Villarreal. In the second half xG was Málaga 0.23, Villarreal 3.12: a big edge for Villarreal. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Villarreal scored 3 from 4.25 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Málaga: −4.5 for the season (20 in the table). Villarreal: −7.0 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Real Betis — Getafe 1:0

All LaLiga matches with xG →