Real Betis — Real Sociedad 1:0
Real Betis1:0
Real SociedadThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score1:0
Home xG1.70Real Betis
Away xG1.14Real Sociedad
Expected points1.75 : 1.01
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Real Betis was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 1 | 1.70 | −0.7 | 1.75 |
| Real Sociedad | 0 | 1.14 | −1.1 | 1.01 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62' | Rodrigo Riquelme | Real Betis | 0.12 | Juan Camilo Hernández |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66' | Isco | Real Betis | 0.56 | saved |
| 82' | Orri Óskarsson | Real Sociedad | 0.50 | saved |
| 29' | Orri Óskarsson | Real Sociedad | 0.21 | off target |
Shots: Real Betis 18, Real Sociedad 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Real Betis 0.20, Real Sociedad 0.23: about even. In the second half xG was Real Betis 1.50, Real Sociedad 0.91: a small edge for Real Betis. Real Sociedad scored 0 from 1.14 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Real Betis: +7.9 for the season (4 in the table). Real Sociedad: +7.1 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.