Real Madrid — Real Sociedad 4:1
Real Madrid4:1
Real SociedadThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score4:1
Home xG3.31Real Madrid
Away xG0.46Real Sociedad
Expected points2.77 : 0.15
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Real Madrid was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 4 | 3.31 | +0.7 | 2.77 |
| Real Sociedad | 1 | 0.46 | +0.5 | 0.15 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39' | Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | 0.11 | Federico Valverde |
| 43' | Luka Sucic | Real Sociedad | 0.07 | |
| 59' | Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | 0.48 | Jude Bellingham |
| 67' | Vinícius Júnior | Real Madrid | 0.95 | Jude Bellingham |
| 79' | Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | 0.49 | Vinícius Júnior |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67' | Vinícius Júnior | Real Madrid | 0.95 | goal |
| 79' | Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | 0.49 | goal |
| 59' | Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | 0.48 | goal |
Shots: Real Madrid 20, Real Sociedad 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 0.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Real Madrid 0.61, Real Sociedad 0.27: a small edge for Real Madrid. In the second half xG was Real Madrid 2.68, Real Sociedad 0.20: a big edge for Real Madrid. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.
How it fits the season
Real Madrid: +2.3 for the season (2 in the table). Real Sociedad: +7.1 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.