Real Sociedad
Celta VigoThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.39.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.02 | −1.0 | 1.66 | |
| 0 | 0.63 | −0.6 | 1.00 |
There were no goals in this match.
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20' | Takefusa Kubo | 0.54 | off target | |
| 79' | Iago Aspas | 0.35 | saved | |
| 48' | Andrés Antañón | 0.13 | off target |
Shots: Real Sociedad 16, Celta Vigo 7; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.
In the first half xG was Real Sociedad 0.77, Celta Vigo 0.09: a small edge for Real Sociedad. In the second half xG was Real Sociedad 0.28, Celta Vigo 0.54: about even. Real Sociedad scored 0 from 1.02 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Real Sociedad: +7.1 for the season (5 in the table). Celta Vigo: −2.7 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.