The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.39.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 0 | 1.02 | −1.0 | 1.66 |
| Celta Vigo | 0 | 0.63 | −0.6 | 1.01 |
Real Sociedad: +2.0 for the season (8 in the table). Celta Vigo: −1.7 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.