Celta Vigo

Next match

Real Madrid · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 11% · draw 19% · defeat 71%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 13 points from 15.7 xPTS (−2.7). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 9th in the league, but 11th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−3.8 goals vs xG).

Attack. 1.15 xG per match — 16th of 20 (league average 1.57): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 10 goals from 13.8 xG — 28% fewer than expected. Finishing is clearly below par — the chances are the same, so the goals will probably follow.

Defence. 1.15 xGA per match — 2nd of 20 for solidity (league average 1.57): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 10 goals from 13.8 xGA — 28% fewer than expected. Part of these clean sheets rests on luck rather than defending.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.23 points per match: expected pace 1.3 points per match vs the current 1.1.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.08 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 0.89. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 4.5 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Celta Vigo and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full LaLiga xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league