The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Real Betis was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 1 | 1.67 | −0.7 | 0.43 |
| Real Betis | 2 | 4.07 | −2.1 | 2.46 |
Villarreal: −5.3 for the season (9 in the table). Real Betis: +6.2 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.