Villarreal — Real Betis 1:2

Villarreal

1:2

Real Betis

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Real Betis was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Villarreal	1	1.67	−0.7	0.43
Real Betis	2	4.07	−2.1	2.46

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
28'	Gerard Moreno	Villarreal	0.50	Renato Veiga
38'	Juan Camilo Hernández	Real Betis	0.64
42'	Natan	Real Betis	0.51

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
38'	Juan Camilo Hernández	Real Betis	0.64	goal
55'	Juan Camilo Hernández	Real Betis	0.63	saved
10'	Santiago Comesaña	Villarreal	0.59	saved

Shots: Villarreal 14, Real Betis 26; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 5.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Villarreal 1.49, Real Betis 2.08: a small edge for Real Betis. In the second half xG was Villarreal 0.26, Real Betis 2.07: a big edge for Real Betis. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Real Betis scored 2 from 4.07 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Villarreal: −7.0 for the season (8 in the table). Real Betis: +7.9 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

All LaLiga matches with xG →