The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Spartak Moscow go in as favourites: 63% to win, 17% for the opponent.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The most common scores at these chances: 0:2 (about 10%), 1:2 and 0:1.
Almost one-way traffic on expected goals: Spartak Moscow 2.12 against 1.00. A big gap in form: Spartak Moscow 10 points from the last 5 matches, Lokomotiv Moscow only 5 points. On their play Lokomotiv Moscow would have 1.8 more points than they do.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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