The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Real Sociedad | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 10 | 8 |
| xPTS | 8 | 13.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.0 | −5.3 |
| xG per match | 1.34 | 2.8 |
| xGA per match | 1.83 | 1.63 |
| Scored | 9 | 13 |
| Conceded | 13 | 12 |
By quality of play Villarreal is ahead: 13.3 xPTS against 8.0. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Real Sociedad: +2.0, Villarreal: −5.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Real Sociedad — 7.1, Villarreal — 10.6.