The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Real Madrid | Sevilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 15 | 13 |
| xPTS | 16.5 | 8.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.5 | +4.7 |
| xG per match | 2.81 | 1.06 |
| xGA per match | 1.11 | 1.5 |
| Scored | 18 | 10 |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 |
By quality of play Real Madrid is ahead: 16.5 xPTS against 8.3. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Real Madrid: −1.5, Sevilla: +4.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Real Madrid — 10.6, Sevilla — 5.3.