The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Villarreal | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPTS | 13.3 | 12.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −5.3 | −4.2 |
| xG per match | 2.8 | 1.88 |
| xGA per match | 1.63 | 1.28 |
| Scored | 13 | 7 |
| Conceded | 12 | 6 |
By quality of play Villarreal is ahead: 13.3 xPTS against 12.2. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Villarreal: −5.3, Athletic Club: −4.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Villarreal — 10.6, Athletic Club — 10.5.