The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Barcelona | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 2 |
| Points | 21 | 16 |
| xPTS | 18.4 | 12.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.6 | +3.2 |
| xG per match | 4.2 | 1.96 |
| xGA per match | 1.11 | 1.21 |
| Scored | 31 | 16 |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 |
By quality of play Barcelona is ahead: 18.4 xPTS against 12.8. In the table the gap is 5 points. The gap between points and play — Barcelona: +2.6, Atlético Madrid: +3.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Barcelona — 12.2, Atlético Madrid — 7.9.