The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Sevilla | Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 13 | 11 |
| xPTS | 8.3 | 11.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.7 | −0.5 |
| xG per match | 1.06 | 1.52 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.09 |
| Scored | 10 | 11 |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 |
By quality of play Alavés is ahead: 11.5 xPTS against 8.3. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Sevilla: +4.7, Alavés: −0.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Sevilla — 5.3, Alavés — 7.5.