The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Eintracht Frankfurt go in as favourites: 61% to win, 20% for the opponent.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
The most common scores at these chances: 2:1 (about 10%), 1:1 and 2:0.
A big gap in chances in the model: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.21, the opponent 1.18. Form is with Hamburger SV: 9 points from the last 5 matches, Eintracht Frankfurt 7 points. Hamburger SV have slightly more points than their play earned (+3.0); a small cushion like that usually fades.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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