Arsenal — Coventry City 3:0
Arsenal3:0
Coventry CityThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score3:0
Home xG1.85Arsenal
Away xG0.56Coventry City
Expected points2.27 : 0.52
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Arsenal was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 3 | 1.85 | +1.1 | 2.27 |
| Coventry City | 0 | 0.56 | −0.6 | 0.52 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14' | Kai Havertz | Arsenal | 0.10 | Riccardo Calafiori |
| 22' | Bukayo Saka | Arsenal | 0.63 | |
| 48' | Martin Odegaard | Arsenal | 0.14 | Ben White |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22' | Bukayo Saka | Arsenal | 0.63 | goal |
| 85' | Jack Rudoni | Coventry City | 0.51 | saved, header |
| 48' | Martin Odegaard | Arsenal | 0.14 | goal |
Shots: Arsenal 20, Coventry City 4; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Arsenal 1.20, Coventry City 0.04: a clear edge for Arsenal. In the second half xG was Arsenal 0.67, Coventry City 0.52: about even. Arsenal scored 3 from 1.85 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Arsenal: +8.0 for the season (1 in the table). Coventry City: −0.8 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.