Coventry City — Newcastle United 4:1
Coventry City
Newcastle UnitedThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Who deserved it
Newcastle United created more (2.22 xG against 1.66) and left with nothing.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | 4 | 1.66 | +2.3 | 1.07 |
| Newcastle United | 1 | 2.22 | −1.2 | 1.72 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5' | Jack Rudoni (penalty) | Coventry City | 0.76 | |
| 47' | Sidiki Chérif | Coventry City | 0.07 | |
| 69' | Sven Botman | Newcastle United | 0.02 | Nico González |
| 80' | Ellis Simms | Coventry City | 0.09 | Brandon Thomas-Asante |
| 85' | Stephen Mfuni | Coventry City | 0.08 | Jay Dasilva |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42' | Matias Fernandez-Pardo | Newcastle United | 0.81 | blocked |
| 30' | Jacob Murphy | Newcastle United | 0.55 | off target |
| 54' | Sidiki Chérif | Coventry City | 0.43 | blocked |
Shots: Coventry City 9, Newcastle United 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Coventry City 0.87, Newcastle United 1.76: a clear edge for Newcastle United. In the second half xG was Coventry City 0.80, Newcastle United 0.45: a small edge for Coventry City. The edge in chances passed from Newcastle United to Coventry City. Coventry City scored 4 from 1.66 xG: well above what they created. Newcastle United scored 1 from 2.22 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Coventry City: −0.8 for the season (17 in the table). Newcastle United: +2.1 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.