Fulham — Chelsea 2:3

Fulham

2:3

Chelsea

EPL · 24 Aug 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score2:3

Home xG1.42Fulham

Away xG2.58Chelsea

Expected points0.77 : 2.05

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Chelsea was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Fulham	2	1.42	+0.6	0.77
Chelsea	3	2.58	+0.4	2.05

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
0'	João Pedro	Chelsea	0.43	Cole Palmer
22'	Joshua King	Fulham	0.05	Timothy Castagne
40'	Morgan Rogers	Chelsea	0.45	Maxence Lacroix
48'	Cole Palmer	Chelsea	0.28	João Pedro
53'	Gonzalo García	Fulham	0.64

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
53'	Gonzalo García	Fulham	0.64	goal, header
35'	Romeo Lavia	Chelsea	0.59	saved, from a corner
40'	Morgan Rogers	Chelsea	0.45	goal

Shots: Fulham 14, Chelsea 18; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Fulham 0.43, Chelsea 2.08: a big edge for Chelsea. In the second half xG was Fulham 1.04, Chelsea 0.56: a small edge for Fulham. The edge in chances passed from Chelsea to Fulham.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Fulham: −3.9 for the season (15 in the table). Chelsea: +3.2 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

All EPL matches with xG →