Points. 7 points from 6.1 xPTS (+0.9). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 9th in the league, but 7th in the table. Points match the quality of play.
Attack. 1.79 xG per match — 7th of 20 (league average 1.64): one of the most dangerous attacks in the league. Scored 10 goals from 8.9 xG — finishing is on par.
Defence. 2.06 xGA per match — 17th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.64). Conceded 12 goals from 10.3 xGA — 1.7 more than expected: opponents are scoring almost everything and the goalkeeper is not helping. But plenty of chances are allowed too — it is not just bad luck.
Playing to its level. Points (7) are close to the quality of play (6.1 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.40 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.25. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.3 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | home | 2026-10-10 | 1.24 |
| Everton | away | 2026-10-17 | 1.06 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | home | 2026-10-24 | 2.08 |
| Manchester United | home | 2026-10-31 | 1.01 |
| Sunderland | away | 2026-11-07 | 0.87 |