Fulham

Next match

Manchester City · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 15% · draw 17% · defeat 67%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 10 points from 13.9 xPTS (−3.9). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 10th in the league, but 15th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−6.0 goals vs xG).

Attack. 1.60 xG per match — 9th of 20 (league average 1.60): an average attack for this league. Scored 10 goals from 16.0 xG — 37% fewer than expected. Finishing is clearly below par — the chances are the same, so the goals will probably follow.

Defence. 1.54 xGA per match — 9th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.60): mid-table for chances allowed. Conceded 12 goals from 15.4 xGA — 22% fewer than expected. Part of these clean sheets rests on luck rather than defending.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.39 points per match: expected pace 1.4 points per match vs the current 1.0.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.13. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.6 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Fulham and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full EPL xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league