Athletic Club
Atlético MadridThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Athletic Club was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.87 | +1.1 | 2.14 | |
| 0 | 0.75 | −0.8 | 0.65 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45' | Nico Williams | 0.47 | ||
| 47' | Roberto Navarro | 0.41 | Iñaki Williams | |
| 89' | Oihan Sancet | 0.52 |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89' | Oihan Sancet | 0.52 | goal | |
| 45' | Nico Williams | 0.47 | goal, header | |
| 47' | Roberto Navarro | 0.41 | goal |
Shots: Athletic Club 11, Atlético Madrid 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 0.
In the first half xG was Athletic Club 0.84, Atlético Madrid 0.33: a small edge for Athletic Club. In the second half xG was Athletic Club 1.06, Atlético Madrid 0.42: a small edge for Athletic Club. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Athletic Club scored 3 from 1.87 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Athletic Club: −4.2 for the season (7 in the table). Atlético Madrid: +7.0 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.