The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Deportivo La Coruña won against the run of chances: Villarreal created more (3.64 xG against 2.44).
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 2 | 3.64 | −1.6 | 1.97 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 3 | 2.44 | +0.6 | 0.88 |
Villarreal: −5.3 for the season (9 in the table). Deportivo La Coruña: +2.2 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.