Rayo Vallecano — Racing Santander 3:2

Rayo Vallecano

3:2

Racing Santander

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Rayo Vallecano was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Rayo Vallecano	3	1.19	+1.8	1.80
Racing Santander	2	0.63	+1.4	0.90

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
3'	Sergio Canales	Racing Santander	0.06
16'	Andrei Ratiu	Rayo Vallecano	0.04	Sergio Camello
27'	Pablo García	Racing Santander	0.02
42'	Sergio Camello	Rayo Vallecano	0.37	Unai López
46'	Sergio Camello	Rayo Vallecano	0.04	Unai López

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
42'	Sergio Camello	Rayo Vallecano	0.37	goal
15'	Pablo García	Racing Santander	0.33	saved
49'	Andrei Ratiu	Rayo Vallecano	0.13	blocked

Shots: Rayo Vallecano 16, Racing Santander 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Rayo Vallecano 0.73, Racing Santander 0.46: about even. In the second half xG was Rayo Vallecano 0.45, Racing Santander 0.18: about even. Rayo Vallecano scored 3 from 1.19 xG: well above what they created. Racing Santander scored 2 from 0.63 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Rayo Vallecano: −1.5 for the season (14 in the table). Racing Santander: +0.3 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid 3:0Villarreal — Deportivo La Coruña 2:3

All LaLiga matches with xG →