The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Athletic Club created more (1.46 xG against 0.97) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1 | 1.46 | −0.5 | 1.72 |
| Sevilla | 3 | 0.97 | +2.0 | 1.01 |
Athletic Club: −4.2 for the season (10 in the table). Sevilla: +4.7 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.