Athletic Club — Sevilla 1:3

Athletic Club

1:3

Sevilla

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Athletic Club created more (1.46 xG against 0.97) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Athletic Club	1	1.46	−0.5	1.72
Sevilla	3	0.97	+2.0	1.02

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
14'	Oso	Sevilla	0.34
50'	Chidera Ejuke	Sevilla	0.30	Isaac Romero
56'	Isaac Romero	Sevilla	0.14	Oso
69'	Aitor Paredes	Athletic Club	0.53	Yeray Álvarez

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
69'	Aitor Paredes	Athletic Club	0.53	goal, from a corner
14'	Oso	Sevilla	0.34	goal
50'	Chidera Ejuke	Sevilla	0.30	goal

Shots: Athletic Club 18, Sevilla 7; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Athletic Club 0.39, Sevilla 0.53: about even. In the second half xG was Athletic Club 1.12, Sevilla 0.44: a small edge for Athletic Club. Sevilla scored 3 from 0.97 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Athletic Club: −4.2 for the season (7 in the table). Sevilla: +2.5 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Valencia — Celta Vigo 0:0Espanyol — Real Madrid 1:2

All LaLiga matches with xG →