Barcelona
Rayo VallecanoThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Barcelona was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2.96 | +2.0 | 2.40 | |
| 2 | 1.07 | +0.9 | 0.46 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11' | Sergio Camello | 0.14 | Álvaro García | |
| 18' | Raphinha | 0.43 | Xavi Espart | |
| 20' | Lamine Yamal | 0.04 | Marc Bernal | |
| 50' | Florian Lejeune (own goal) | — | ||
| 58' | Sergio Camello | 0.06 | Unai López | |
| 70' | Raphinha | 0.34 | Anthony Gordon | |
| 89' | Lamine Yamal | 0.07 | Karim Adeyemi |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60' | Sergio Camello | 0.59 | blocked | |
| 13' | Raphinha | 0.48 | saved | |
| 18' | Raphinha | 0.43 | goal |
Shots: Barcelona 26, Rayo Vallecano 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 1.
In the first half xG was Barcelona 1.80, Rayo Vallecano 0.17: a big edge for Barcelona. In the second half xG was Barcelona 1.25, Rayo Vallecano 0.91: a small edge for Barcelona. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Barcelona scored 5 from 2.96 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Barcelona: +3.7 for the season (1 in the table). Rayo Vallecano: −1.5 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.