Pitch Radar

Barcelona — Rayo Vallecano 5:2

Barcelona
5:2
Rayo Vallecano
LaLiga · 31 Aug 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score5:2
Home xG2.96Barcelona
Away xG1.07Rayo Vallecano
Expected points2.40 : 0.46

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Barcelona was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Barcelona52.96+2.02.40
Rayo Vallecano21.07+0.90.46

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
11'Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano0.14Álvaro García
18'RaphinhaBarcelona0.43Xavi Espart
20'Lamine YamalBarcelona0.04Marc Bernal
50'Florian Lejeune (own goal)Barcelona—
58'Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano0.06Unai López
70'RaphinhaBarcelona0.34Anthony Gordon
89'Lamine YamalBarcelona0.07Karim Adeyemi

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
60'Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano0.59blocked
13'RaphinhaBarcelona0.48saved
18'RaphinhaBarcelona0.43goal

Shots: Barcelona 26, Rayo Vallecano 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Barcelona 1.80, Rayo Vallecano 0.17: a big edge for Barcelona. In the second half xG was Barcelona 1.25, Rayo Vallecano 0.91: a small edge for Barcelona. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Barcelona scored 5 from 2.96 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Barcelona: +3.7 for the season (1 in the table). Rayo Vallecano: −1.5 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All LaLiga matches with xG →