Rayo Vallecano

Next match

Valencia · at home, 21 Nov 2026
Win 52% · draw 25% · defeat 23%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

What the numbers say

Points. 12 points from 13.5 xPTS (−1.5). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 16th in the league, but 14th in the table. Points match the quality of play. On top of that, finishing falls short (−0.4 vs xG) and more goals conceded than expected (+2.1 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.40 xG per match — 10th of 20 (league average 1.57): an average attack for this league. Scored 15 goals from 15.4 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.

Defence. 1.72 xGA per match — 15th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.57): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 21 goals from 18.9 xGA — 11% more than expected. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.

Playing to its level. Points (12) are close to the quality of play (13.5 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.09 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.43. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 7.1 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Rayo Vallecano and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full LaLiga xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league