Pitch Radar

Rayo Vallecano

LaLiga · Spain · season 2026/27 · 6 matches · 2W 1D 3L
Place11 of 20
Points7
xPTS6.0
Δ points − xPTS+1.0
Scored / xG10 / 7.8
Conceded / xGA15 / 12.1

What the numbers say

Points. 7 points from 6.0 xPTS (+1.0). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 16th in the league, but 11th in the table. Points match the quality of play.

Attack. 1.29 xG per match — 13th of 20 (league average 1.64): an average attack for this league. Scored 10 goals from 7.8 xG (+2.2): the ball is going in more often than such chances usually allow. Finishing like this rarely lasts.

Defence. 2.02 xGA per match — 17th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.64). Conceded 15 goals from 12.1 xGA — 2.9 more than expected: opponents are scoring almost everything and the goalkeeper is not helping. But plenty of chances are allowed too — it is not just bad luck.

Playing to its level. Points (7) are close to the quality of play (6.0 xPTS).

6 matches played. Over this distance the metrics already show a trend, but randomness is still large — treat this as an early signal, not a verdict.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

047 1 6 round 1: 1:2, Points 0, xPTS 1.3round 2: 1:1, Points 1, xPTS 1.6round 3: 2:5, Points 1, xPTS 1.9round 4: 3:2, Points 4, xPTS 3.7round 5: 1:4, Points 4, xPTS 4.1round 6: 2:1, Points 7, xPTS 6.0
Points 7 xPTS 6.0 points are 1.0 ahead of performance

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.17 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.30. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.5 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.

OpponentVenueDateExpected points
Osasunaaway2026-09-191.01
Athletic Clubhome2026-10-110.92
Getafeaway2026-10-181.37
Elchehome2026-10-251.66
Celta Vigohome2026-11-011.56

Other clubs of the league

Full LaLiga xPTS table →