The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Athletic Club was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 0 | 1.20 | −1.2 | 0.47 |
| Athletic Club | 2 | 3.13 | −1.1 | 2.40 |
Celta Vigo: −1.7 for the season (14 in the table). Athletic Club: −4.2 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.