Celta Vigo — Athletic Club 0:2

Celta Vigo

0:2

Athletic Club

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Athletic Club was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Celta Vigo	0	1.20	−1.2	0.47
Athletic Club	2	3.13	−1.1	2.39

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
19'	Alex Berenguer	Athletic Club	0.07	Iñaki Williams
21'	Roberto Navarro	Athletic Club	0.48	Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
34'	Iñaki Williams	Athletic Club	0.54	saved
17'	Aymeric Laporte	Athletic Club	0.52	off target, header, from a corner
21'	Roberto Navarro	Athletic Club	0.48	goal

Shots: Celta Vigo 8, Athletic Club 17; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 5.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Celta Vigo 0.46, Athletic Club 2.42: a big edge for Athletic Club. In the second half xG was Celta Vigo 0.74, Athletic Club 0.72: about even. Celta Vigo scored 0 from 1.20 xG: fewer than they created. Athletic Club scored 2 from 3.13 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Celta Vigo: −2.7 for the season (11 in the table). Athletic Club: −4.2 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Real Madrid — Málaga 4:0Deportivo La Coruña — Valencia 3:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →