The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Real Madrid was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 4 | 3.41 | +0.6 | 2.67 |
| Málaga | 0 | 0.76 | −0.8 | 0.24 |
Real Madrid: −1.5 for the season (4 in the table). Málaga: −2.4 (20). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.