Real Madrid — Málaga 4:0
Real Madrid4:0
MálagaThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score4:0
Home xG3.41Real Madrid
Away xG0.76Málaga
Expected points2.67 : 0.23
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Real Madrid was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 4 | 3.41 | +0.6 | 2.67 |
| Málaga | 0 | 0.76 | −0.8 | 0.23 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18' | Jude Bellingham | Real Madrid | 0.09 | |
| 25' | Alfonso Herrero (own goal) | Real Madrid | — | |
| 29' | Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | 0.40 | Trent Alexander-Arnold |
| 90' | Arda Güler | Real Madrid | 0.82 | Vinícius Júnior |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90' | Arda Güler | Real Madrid | 0.82 | goal |
| 58' | Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | 0.77 | saved, header, from a corner |
| 25' | Jude Bellingham | Real Madrid | 0.42 | blocked, header |
Shots: Real Madrid 19, Málaga 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 0.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Real Madrid 1.37, Málaga 0.25: a clear edge for Real Madrid. In the second half xG was Real Madrid 2.08, Málaga 0.51: a big edge for Real Madrid. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.
How it fits the season
Real Madrid: +2.3 for the season (2 in the table). Málaga: −4.5 (20). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Deportivo La Coruña — 
Valencia 3:1
Celta Vigo — 
Athletic Club 0:2