Celta Vigo
Racing SantanderThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Celta Vigo was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2.23 | +2.8 | 2.33 | |
| 0 | 0.72 | −0.7 | 0.49 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31' | Hugo Gonzalez (penalty) | 0.74 | ||
| 42' | Ilaix Moriba | 0.06 | Miguel Román | |
| 68' | Miguel Román | 0.02 | ||
| 77' | Pablo Durán | 0.48 | Hugo Álvarez | |
| 91' | Pablo Durán | 0.50 | Hugo Álvarez |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91' | Pablo Durán | 0.50 | goal | |
| 77' | Pablo Durán | 0.48 | goal | |
| 83' | Giorgi Guliashvili | 0.41 | off target |
Shots: Celta Vigo 13, Racing Santander 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 1.
In the first half xG was Celta Vigo 0.93, Racing Santander 0.14: a small edge for Celta Vigo. In the second half xG was Celta Vigo 1.30, Racing Santander 0.58: a small edge for Celta Vigo. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Celta Vigo scored 5 from 2.23 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Celta Vigo: −2.7 for the season (11 in the table). Racing Santander: +0.3 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.