The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Elche created more (1.59 xG against 0.34) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | 1 | 0.34 | +0.7 | 0.46 |
| Elche | 1 | 1.59 | −0.6 | 2.30 |
Deportivo La Coruña: +2.2 for the season (7 in the table). Elche: −2.5 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.