The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 43% home, 22% draw, 35% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.65 and 1.78 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Real Sociedad have taken 4.4 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 15 | 8 | 8 | 9.1 | −1.1 | 1.40 | 2.22 |
| Real Sociedad | 6 | 8 | 13 | 8.6 | +4.4 | 1.34 | 1.89 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.