The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Alavés created more (2.22 xG against 0.57) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 0.57 | +0.4 | 0.41 |
| Alavés | 1 | 2.22 | −1.2 | 2.43 |
Rayo Vallecano: +0.3 for the season (12 in the table). Alavés: −0.5 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.