The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Real Betis won against the run of chances: Real Madrid created more (3.38 xG against 0.89).
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 1 | 0.89 | +0.1 | 0.28 |
| Real Madrid | 0 | 3.38 | −3.4 | 2.62 |
Real Betis: +6.2 for the season (3 in the table). Real Madrid: −1.5 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.