Real Betis — Real Madrid 1:0
Real Betis
Real MadridThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Who deserved it
Real Betis won against the run of chances: Real Madrid created more (3.38 xG against 0.89).
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 1 | 0.89 | +0.1 | 0.29 |
| Real Madrid | 0 | 3.38 | −3.4 | 2.61 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80' | Troy Parrott | Real Betis | 0.67 |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80' | Troy Parrott | Real Betis | 0.67 | goal, from a corner |
| 42' | Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | 0.54 | blocked |
| 32' | Vinícius Júnior | Real Madrid | 0.52 | saved |
Shots: Real Betis 10, Real Madrid 20; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 4.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Real Betis 0.14, Real Madrid 2.55: a big edge for Real Madrid. In the second half xG was Real Betis 0.77, Real Madrid 1.08: a small edge for Real Madrid. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Real Madrid scored 0 from 3.38 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Real Betis: +7.9 for the season (4 in the table). Real Madrid: +2.3 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.