Real Sociedad
Atlético MadridThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Atlético Madrid was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 | −0.6 | 0.57 | |
| 3 | 1.83 | +1.2 | 2.22 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83' | Álex Grimaldo (penalty) | 0.74 | ||
| 89' | Jonathan Christian David | 0.34 | Álex Grimaldo | |
| 94' | Giuliano Simeone | 0.27 | David Hancko |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33' | Luka Sucic | 0.38 | off target, from a corner | |
| 89' | Jonathan Christian David | 0.34 | goal | |
| 94' | Giuliano Simeone | 0.27 | goal |
Shots: Real Sociedad 8, Atlético Madrid 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.
In the first half xG was Real Sociedad 0.53, Atlético Madrid 0.18: a small edge for Real Sociedad. In the second half xG was Real Sociedad 0.07, Atlético Madrid 1.65: a big edge for Atlético Madrid. The edge in chances passed from Real Sociedad to Atlético Madrid. Atlético Madrid scored 3 from 1.83 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Real Sociedad: +7.1 for the season (5 in the table). Atlético Madrid: +7.0 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.