Celta Vigo — Málaga 1:1

Celta Vigo

1:1

Málaga

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Celta Vigo created more (1.48 xG against 0.55) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Celta Vigo	1	1.48	−0.5	2.07
Málaga	1	0.55	+0.4	0.67

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
40'	Ferrán Jutglà	Celta Vigo	0.06	Hugo Gonzalez
82'	Adrián Niño	Málaga	0.10	Pablo Martínez

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
62'	Williot Swedberg	Celta Vigo	0.41	saved
24'	Sergio Carreira	Celta Vigo	0.27	saved
10'	Hugo Álvarez	Celta Vigo	0.11	blocked

Shots: Celta Vigo 17, Málaga 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Celta Vigo 0.62, Málaga 0.16: a small edge for Celta Vigo. In the second half xG was Celta Vigo 0.83, Málaga 0.38: a small edge for Celta Vigo. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Celta Vigo: −2.7 for the season (11 in the table). Málaga: −4.5 (20). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Levante — Barcelona 2:4Getafe — Deportivo La Coruña 1:1Real Sociedad — Atlético Madrid 0:3

All LaLiga matches with xG →