The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.05.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 1 | 0.99 | +0.0 | 1.38 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 1 | 0.94 | +0.1 | 1.30 |
Getafe: +1.3 for the season (11 in the table). Deportivo La Coruña: +2.2 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.