The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Atlético Madrid was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1 | 1.08 | −0.1 | 1.09 |
| Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1.48 | +1.5 | 1.65 |
Sevilla: +4.7 for the season (5 in the table). Atlético Madrid: +3.2 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.