Sevilla — Atlético Madrid 1:3

Sevilla

1:3

Atlético Madrid

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Atlético Madrid was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Sevilla	1	1.08	−0.1	1.09
Atlético Madrid	3	1.48	+1.5	1.65

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
3'	Álex Baena	Atlético Madrid	0.21	Lee Kang-In
25'	Ademola Lookman	Atlético Madrid	0.07	Pablo Barrios Rivas
32'	Álex Baena	Atlético Madrid	0.05	Marcos Llorente
66'	Miguel Sierra	Sevilla	0.08	Robbie Ure

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
89'	Arnau Ortiz	Atlético Madrid	0.47	off target, from a set piece
5'	Robbie Ure	Sevilla	0.33	off target, header
3'	Álex Baena	Atlético Madrid	0.21	goal

Shots: Sevilla 21, Atlético Madrid 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Sevilla 0.51, Atlético Madrid 0.63: about even. In the second half xG was Sevilla 0.57, Atlético Madrid 0.89: a small edge for Atlético Madrid. Atlético Madrid scored 3 from 1.48 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Sevilla: +2.5 for the season (6 in the table). Atlético Madrid: +7.0 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Levante — Real Betis 5:2Real Sociedad — Espanyol 2:1

All LaLiga matches with xG →